[124097] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: IP4 Space
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Christopher Morrow)
Tue Mar 23 13:41:03 2010
In-Reply-To: <C714471F-4486-42A0-BE29-7EF8A7A256D4@delong.com>
Date: Tue, 23 Mar 2010 10:40:28 -0700
From: Christopher Morrow <morrowc.lists@gmail.com>
To: Owen DeLong <owen@delong.com>
Cc: NANOG list <nanog@nanog.org>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
On Tue, Mar 23, 2010 at 10:27 AM, Owen DeLong <owen@delong.com> wrote:
> I think that the additive nature of the IPv6/IPv4 routing tables =A0will =
be the
> driving factor for deprecation of IPv4 pretty quickly once IPv6 starts to
> reach critical mass. =A0The problem is that we are so early on the IPv6
> adoption curve right now that nobody believes IPv6 will become
> ubiquitous fast enough to be relevant.
it seems to me that we'll have widespread ipv4 for +10 years at least,
potentially there will be enough ipv4 alive in 20 years to still
consider it 'widespread'. I also think we'll see more v4 routes
(longer prefixes) show up in the first 10yrs, before it gets better :(
I could be wrong, I hope I am, but...
> I think that IPv6 deployment is already showing signs of acceleration.
> I think that it will lurch forward suddenly shortly after (~6-12 months)
> IPv4 finally hits the runout wall in a couple of years.
I agree that v6 deployments seem to be getting
better/faster/stronger... I think that's good news, but we'll still be
paying the v4 piper for a while.
-Chris
> Owen
>
>
>
