[102216] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Scott Francis)
Fri Feb 1 17:55:05 2008
Date: Fri, 1 Feb 2008 14:44:07 -0800
From: "Scott Francis" <darkuncle@gmail.com>
To: "Rod Beck" <Rod.Beck@hiberniaatlantic.com>
Cc: nanog@merit.edu
In-Reply-To: <71CB284A12EDA54880FF588A8BAC0BE20E4F4F@ernie.HiberniaAtlantic.local>
Errors-To: owner-nanog@merit.edu
On Feb 1, 2008 2:35 PM, Rod Beck <Rod.Beck@hiberniaatlantic.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> Not at all, there have been cables in the water since 1858 (first
> TransAtlantic cable - telegraph). Right now there are 80 major cables out
> there.
>
> Give yourself 170 years of undersea cables and calculate the odds.
>
> :)
hm. I wonder what the odds are (I don't have enough figures to do the
math myself):
80 cables worldwide (first time I'd heard that figure, actually)
X square miles of shipping lanes
Y ships in those lanes
Z square miles of overlap between shipping lanes and cable run
# of times, on average, a ship drops anchor outside of a port
maybe there's a lot more overlap in shipping lanes and cable runs than
I thought ...
(or maybe we just got unlucky, and we'll have a nice long period of no
undersea cuts following these :))
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