[97889] in North American Network Operators' Group

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Re: peter lothberg's mother slashdotted

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (micky coughes)
Fri Jul 13 08:23:41 2007

Date: Fri, 13 Jul 2007 08:21:16 -0400
From: "micky coughes" <coughes@gmail.com>
To: "Robert Blayzor" <rblayzor@inoc.net>
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
In-Reply-To: <46975F0F.4030707@inoc.net>
Errors-To: owner-nanog@merit.edu


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On 7/13/07, Robert Blayzor <rblayzor@inoc.net> wrote:
>
>
> micky coughes wrote:
> > I can see that *everybody* is missing the point on Peter's exercise.
> > Clearly this is to show to the telcos of the world that you can upgrade
> > to a native IP infrastructure and absorb the existing transport into the
> > router with a minimal effort.  There was a post here from someone that
> > was there that explained how simple it was.   This is HUGE!  This has
> > the potential to completely disrupt telco transport dinosaur groups
> > *and* reshape the future.  Taking it to his mom's house is just a poke
> > in the telco eye, he is making fun of them.  This then begs the question
> > why can they do it between their facilities?  If one guy can do it to a
> > *house* it must not be that hard.  However, telcos with transport groups
> > of 1000s can't pull this off, this little project states volumes.
>
>
> There may be some telco's out there that don't know these types of
> technologies are out there.  But for many, they are quiet aware.  The
> fact is 10G seems a lot more economically feasible right now.  Maybe if
> 40G, OC768 WDM line cards didn't cost over a quarter million dollars
> each there would be more deployments of it.  The rate and cost of
> facility upgrades are far surpassing the means to make the ROI models
> work.
>
> -Robert
>

Of course they know 40G exists, read the press releases.  It is how it is
implemented is the intersting thing.

Instead of relpacing all of DWDM systems from 10->40G it looks like it was
done to *one* window.  Go run the nummbers on the follwoing models:

1. Replace 10G system to 40G + assorted new mux gear for existing circuits +
40G router card + opex
2. Remove one transponder + stratalight + 40G router card + opex
3. Existing 10G system + silly iMux 4x10G + 40G router card + opex (zero
gain in system capacity)
4. Remove one transponder + 40G DWDM router card + opex (the opex on this
one is huge because you start to elimiated a large number of bodies to
maintain #1, #2 or #3)

If you work for a telco go to your transport group and suggest #4 and listen
to their bell shaped heads ring.

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<br><br>
<div><span class="gmail_quote">On 7/13/07, <b class="gmail_sendername">Robert Blayzor</b> &lt;<a href="mailto:rblayzor@inoc.net">rblayzor@inoc.net</a>&gt; wrote:</span>
<blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="PADDING-LEFT: 1ex; MARGIN: 0px 0px 0px 0.8ex; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid"><br>micky coughes wrote:<br>&gt; I can see that *everybody* is missing the point on Peter&#39;s exercise.<br>
&gt; Clearly this is to show to the telcos of the world that you can upgrade<br>&gt; to a native IP infrastructure and absorb the existing transport into the<br>&gt; router with a minimal effort.&nbsp;&nbsp;There was a post here from someone that
<br>&gt; was there that explained how simple it was.&nbsp;&nbsp; This is HUGE!&nbsp;&nbsp;This has<br>&gt; the potential to completely disrupt telco transport dinosaur groups<br>&gt; *and* reshape the future.&nbsp;&nbsp;Taking it to his mom&#39;s house is just a poke
<br>&gt; in the telco eye, he is making fun of them.&nbsp;&nbsp;This then begs the question<br>&gt; why can they do it between their facilities?&nbsp;&nbsp;If one guy can do it to a<br>&gt; *house* it must not be that hard.&nbsp;&nbsp;However, telcos with transport groups
<br>&gt; of 1000s can&#39;t pull this off, this little project states volumes.<br><br><br>There may be some telco&#39;s out there that don&#39;t know these types of<br>technologies are out there.&nbsp;&nbsp;But for many, they are quiet aware.&nbsp;&nbsp;The
<br>fact is 10G seems a lot more economically feasible right now.&nbsp;&nbsp;Maybe if<br>40G, OC768 WDM line cards didn&#39;t cost over a quarter million dollars<br>each there would be more deployments of it.&nbsp;&nbsp;The rate and cost of<br>
facility upgrades are far surpassing the means to make the ROI models work.<br><br>-Robert<br></blockquote></div>
<div><br>Of course they know 40G exists, read the press releases.&nbsp; It is how it is implemented is the intersting thing.</div>
<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>Instead of relpacing all of DWDM systems from 10-&gt;40G it looks like it was done to *one* window.&nbsp; Go run the nummbers on the follwoing models:</div>
<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>1. Replace 10G system to 40G + assorted new mux gear for existing circuits + 40G router card + opex</div>
<div>2. Remove one transponder + stratalight + 40G router card + opex</div>
<div>3. Existing 10G system + silly iMux 4x10G + 40G&nbsp;router card + opex (zero gain in system capacity)</div>
<div>4. Remove one transponder + 40G DWDM router card + opex (the opex on this one is huge because you start to elimiated a large number of bodies to maintain #1, #2 or #3)</div>
<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>If you work for a telco go to your transport group and suggest #4 and listen to their bell shaped heads ring.</div>
<div>&nbsp;</div>

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