[94355] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: Google wants to be your Internet
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Marshall Eubanks)
Sat Jan 20 16:16:46 2007
In-Reply-To: <bb075cdf0701201037i6ffd6cf4uab7ce2a6b10fd267@mail.gmail.com>
Cc: booloo@ucsc.edu, nanog@merit.edu
From: Marshall Eubanks <tme@multicasttech.com>
Date: Sat, 20 Jan 2007 16:02:17 -0500
To: "Rodrick Brown" <rodrick.brown@gmail.com>
Errors-To: owner-nanog@merit.edu
Hello;
On Jan 20, 2007, at 1:37 PM, Rodrick Brown wrote:
>
> On 1/20/07, Mark Boolootian <booloo@ucsc.edu> wrote:
>>
>>
>> Cringley has a theory and it involves Google, video, and
>> oversubscribed
>> backbones:
>>
>> http://www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/2007/pulpit_20070119_001510.html
>>
>
> The following comment has to be one of the most important comments in
> the entire article and its a bit disturbing.
>
> "Right now somewhat more than half of all Internet bandwidth is being
> used for BitTorrent traffic, which is mainly video. Yet if you
> surveyed your neighbors you'd find that few of them are BitTorrent
> users. Less than 5 percent of all Internet users are presently
> consuming more than 50 percent of all bandwidth."
Those sorts of percentages are common in Pareto distributions (AKA
Zipf's law AKA "the 80-20 rule").
With the Zipf's exponent typical of web usage and video watching, I
would predict something closer to
10% of the users consuming 50% of the usage, but this estimate is not
that unrealistic.
I would predict that these sorts of distributions will continue as
long as humans are the primary consumers of
bandwidth.
Regards
Marshall
>
> --
> Rodrick R. Brown
