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In-Reply-To: <76DE0F2C-3C68-405B-98C6-0A6EC4AEF377@dragondata.com> Cc: Joe Abley <jabley@isc.org>, NANOG list <nanog@nanog.org> From: Kurt Erik Lindqvist <kurtis@kurtis.pp.se> Date: Fri, 3 Mar 2006 11:55:18 +0100 To: Kevin Day <toasty@dragondata.com> Errors-To: owner-nanog@merit.edu On 2 mar 2006, at 06.16, Kevin Day wrote: > No, I'm just trying to be practical here... Estimates of IPv4 pool > exhaustion range from Mid 2008 (Tony Hain's ARIN presentation) to > roughly 2012 (Geoff Huston's ARIN presentation). Sooner if a mad > dash for space starts happening (or isn't happening already). > > Does anyone here really believe that there is time for: So what I think we might need (that I wrote in an internet-draft some years ago) is the following things in exactly this order : 0. PI space with an artifically high barrier on entry yet available when needed (read cost+administration=LIR or equiv.). 1. Ducttape ala shim6 2. One of breakthrough in graph-theory or a completely new addressing/ routing paradigm. Most like the latter. That will take us past IPv4 exhaustion+IPv6 initial deployment, through wider uptake through to the 10-15 years from now when we might have an idea of what 2 is. I used to believe that it would take 10 years to deploy a standardised version of a stack change, I must say I changing my mind and I am starting to agree with however said that we just need to wait for the next <insert favourite OS> major security hole+patch. - kurtis -
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