[162651] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: IPv6 and HTTPS
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Owen DeLong)
Sun Apr 28 19:56:20 2013
From: Owen DeLong <owen@delong.com>
In-Reply-To: <CAAAwwbXS-rQ0xWmQhFAs07gfNR8SAhrD1k4EHMvgh49cpg+w5Q@mail.gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 28 Apr 2013 16:53:50 -0700
To: Jimmy Hess <mysidia@gmail.com>
Cc: North American Network Operators Group <nanog@nanog.org>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
I don't see turning IPv4 off as a short-term goal for anyone.
OTOH, I do see the cost of maintaining residential IPv4 service =
escalating over about the next 5-7 years.
Lee Howard sees roughly the same thing. (He has fancier math and better =
statistics than I used).
Bottom line, it is unlikely that $residential_price will be sufficient =
to sustain residential IPv4 service(s) beyond about 2018. The biggest =
question in that equation will be what percentage of residential users =
are behind the unmaintainable CGN solutions and what percentage retain =
service similar to the current (sad) state of affairs. For the customers =
in the latter category, they might be able to continue until their =
addresses are needed for more profitable services.
Owen
