[162544] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (ML)
Wed Apr 24 14:45:39 2013
Date: Wed, 24 Apr 2013 14:45:04 -0400
From: ML <ml@kenweb.org>
To: nanog@nanog.org
In-Reply-To: <45779.1366753300@turing-police.cc.vt.edu>
Reply-To: ml@kenweb.org
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
On 4/23/2013 5:41 PM, Valdis Kletnieks wrote:
> I didn't see any mention of this Tony Hain paper:
>
> http://tndh.net/~tony/ietf/ARIN-runout-projection.pdf
>
> tl;dr: ARIN predicted to run out of IP space to allocate in August this year.
>
> Are you ready?
>
Where do the startup ISPs whom didn't qualify for PI IPv4 in the past
fit into a post-run out world where they would qualify?
I am speaking in generics but also about a real ISP that is in this
situation today.
In my example This ISP could show need for a /22 but wasn't multihoming
at the time and likely will not until after run-out.
How does such an ISP begin to address their backbone and customers
facing interfaces without tying themselves to an ISP and their PA space?
I don't imagine they will be open to paying extortion prices for IPs
that other people never bothered to use.