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iCloud - Is it going to hurt access providers?

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Skeeve Stevens)
Sat Sep 3 07:20:54 2011

From: Skeeve Stevens <Skeeve@eintellego.net>
To: "nanog@nanog.org" <nanog@nanog.org>
Date: Sat, 3 Sep 2011 11:20:13 +0000
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org

Hey all,

I've been thinking about the impact that iCloud (by Apple) will have on the=
 Internet.

My guess is that 99% of consumer internet access is Asymmetrical (DSL, Cabl=
e, wireless, etc) and iCloud when launched will 'upload' obscene amounts of=
 gigs of music, tv, backups, email, photos, documents/data and so on to the=
ir data centres.

Now, don't misunderstand me, I love the concept of iCloud, as I do DropBox,=
 but from an Access Providers perspective, I'm thinking this might be a 'ba=
d thing'.

From what I can see there are some key issues:

  *   Users with plans that count upload and download together.
  *   The speed of Asymmetric tail technology such as DSL
  *   The design of access provider backhaul (from DSLAM to core) metrics
  *   The design of some transit metrics

So basically the potential issue is that a large residential provider could=
 have thousands of users connect to iCloud, their connections slowed becaus=
e of uploading data, burning their included bandwidth caps, slowing down th=
e backhaul segment of the network, and as residential providers are mostly =
download, some purchase transit from their upstreams in an symmetric fashio=
n.

This post is really just to prompt discussion if people think there is anyt=
hing to actually worry about, or there are other implications that I've not=
 really thought of yet.

=85Skeeve

--

Skeeve Stevens, CEO - eintellego Pty Ltd - The Networking Specialists

skeeve@eintellego.net<mailto:skeeve@eintellego.net> ; www.eintellego.net

Phone: 1300 753 383 ; Fax: (+612) 8572 9954

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