[138505] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Jared Mauch)
Tue Mar 8 23:11:22 2011
From: Jared Mauch <jared@puck.nether.net>
In-Reply-To: <alpine.DEB.1.10.1103090409180.7942@uplift.swm.pp.se>
Date: Tue, 8 Mar 2011 23:10:42 -0500
To: Mikael Abrahamsson <swmike@swm.pp.se>
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
On Mar 8, 2011, at 10:17 PM, Mikael Abrahamsson wrote:
> My guess therefore is a peak around 450-500k IPv4 DFZ routes and that =
this would happen in around 3-5 years. I wanted to record this for =
posterity.
>=20
> What is your guess, any why?
I think it'll end up around the same range, mostly due to hardware with =
built-in route limits. Some providers will be stuck with this for ~5-7 =
years due to equipment lifecycle depreciation.
- jared=
