[137763] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: [arin-ppml] NAT444 rumors (was Re: Looking for an IPv6naysayer...)
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Owen DeLong)
Fri Feb 18 16:59:26 2011
From: Owen DeLong <owen@delong.com>
In-Reply-To: <EFD65FF5-12C8-49BE-8243-F081949A5A08@genius.com>
Date: Fri, 18 Feb 2011 13:54:06 -0800
To: Franck Martin <franck@genius.com>
Cc: "<nanog@nanog.org>" <nanog@nanog.org>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
On Feb 18, 2011, at 10:53 AM, Franck Martin wrote:
> http://www.jetcafe.org/~npc/isp/large.html
>=20
> If you take the 5 top US ISPs and get them to do dual stack IPv6, =
that's 50 million subscribers in the US only.
>=20
> I think google and others will notice some serious traffic happening.
>=20
Google would probably notice significant traffic increases on IPv6 if =
they started providing AAAA records
to non-white-listed DNS resolvers.
> It took a market share of 10 to 20% of Mozilla for web developers to =
go back to support ALL browsers. Same for mobile web site a 10% surfing =
rate got many companies to develop web sites for mobiles.
>=20
> If I recall Comcast and Time Warner are participating in IPv6 day. =
This should create enough eyeballs to show on web analytics graph and =
provide the shift that makes nat444 irrelevant.
>=20
They have not yet deployed to more than a handful of trial customers. In =
fact, I think TW has not yet started
their trials.
> For a network operator I'm looking at the ipv6 ipv4 ASN ratio. Once it =
passes 10% we will have a snow ball effect in the core.
>=20
It's just short of 9% today and climbing rapidly.
> Toute connaissance est une r=E9ponse =E0 une question
>=20
The trick is combining the correct knowledge with the right question.
Owen
