[137612] in North American Network Operators' Group

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RE: Solar flare to reach earth

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (George Bonser)
Thu Feb 17 11:48:22 2011

Date: Thu, 17 Feb 2011 08:48:16 -0800
In-Reply-To: <11752.1297960402@localhost>
From: "George Bonser" <gbonser@seven.com>
To: <Valdis.Kletnieks@vt.edu>, "andrew.wallace" <andrew.wallace@rocketmail.com>
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org

>=20
> Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with
> a chance for an isolated major flare for the next three days (17-19
> February).
> Region 1158 is expected to produce more M-class flares and still has
> the potential for producing an M5 or greater x-ray event. There is a
> chance for isolated M-class activity from Region 1161.

1158 is rotating away from facing directly to us so any flares at this
point will not be aimed directly at Earth as the earlier M and X class
flares were.  Actually, I would be more worried if I earned my living in
orbit or at high altitude.  1161 is rotating into an Earth-facing
position but doesn't seem as active as 1158 was though that can change
tomorrow.



http://spaceweather.com/




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