[12800] in Commercialization & Privatization of the Internet

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Re: In the matter of flat-rate long distance phone service

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Dory Ethan Leifer)
Sun May 29 12:53:39 1994

To: "Tansin A. Darcos & Company" <0005066432@mcimail.com>
Cc: Everyone Lurking on COM PRIV <com-priv@psi.com>
In-Reply-To: Your message of Fri, 27 May 1994 23:26:00 -0500.
             <11940528042611/0005066432NA2EM@mcimail.com> 
Date: Sat, 28 May 1994 22:56:26 -0400
From: Dory Ethan Leifer <leifer@terminator.rs.itd.umich.edu>

> Now if, what ends up happening is that with competition local phone bills
> fall by 1/2 and long distance competition allows them to offer lots of
> people unlimited long distance for $10 a month, with the result being that
> yes, phone service costs twice as much to make all calls free, but phone
> service now is 1/2 of the original rate, then that makes sense, e.g the
> phone bill drops from $20 a month to $10 but long distance drops from 
> 10-30c a minute to $0 but with a $10 a month charge, then that makes sense.
> 

An interesting concept. Some related comments:

 * Long distance is actually getting MORE expensive for many people. With
   all the competition from the big three carriers, many people hardly
   noticed that prices for casual users are going up. If you make more
   than about $25/month in interlata toll, you start to see discounts
   and the effects of competition. For those of you that run up
   hundreds of dollars in international toll, competition is pressing
   prices way down. An hour social chat to Europe is now about the same price
   as lunch in an upscale fast food resturant and without the calories.

* Usage insensitive untimed local calling has already been eliminated
  in many areas and will be under plenty of pressure in locations that
  have it. Some possible reasons:

     - Local modem usage is exceeding the engineered switch and trunk
       capacity with long holding times. It's hard to convince regulators
       and the AARP that grandma who has never logged on to a computer
       in her life should pay for us that are happy to tie up switches
       all day and night with modems. (Of course grandma does not want to pay
       usage charges either... that's why the AARP lobbiests will get
       all kinds of exemptions for their members!)

     - Universal affordable access to telephone services does not mean
       that people should be able to afford to make calls.. just that
       they should to have a phone to receive calls or dial 911. One
       way to achieve this is to offer service with a very small
       monthly (ie $8) and serious usage charges.

     - The cost to provide unmeasured local service may end up being
       cross-subsidized by business or intralata toll. As these sources
       become targets for competition, the surpluses created by them
       will vanish.
   
     - It is technically possible to charge for each minute of calling
       to the house next door. Could it be that the difficulty doing
       this in the past was the original justification of flat rate
       local calling??

 * Don't expect local service to get cheaper for residential customers
   in the long run. With all the subsidization going on, it may be
   unreasonable to expect that competition can offset the increases
   that need to happen to promote the competition in the first place.
   CAPs may, in an attempt to gain market share, cut subscribers all
   kinds of deals but, eventually they do need to show a profit.
    
> I am basing it on my own bills.  I have three phone lines in my house, and
> with no long distance usage, I pay $58 a month or almost $20 a line.  And
> that allows me a total of 195 local calls a month (at 65 each line) without
> additional charges.

I have 2 POTS and 1 ISDN line at home with heavy toll charges. I am 
allowed 450 local calls/month with no addl charges. I don't pay usage
for ISDN data calls because they are part of my employer's centrex
group but, otherwise I'd have to pay $1/hr. Personally, I'd go for
flat rate local and toll even if it costs $150/month.

Dory

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