[99023] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: "2M today, 10M with no change in technology"? An informal survey.
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (bmanning@vacation.karoshi.com)
Thu Aug 30 00:51:35 2007
Date: Thu, 30 Aug 2007 04:47:57 +0000
From: bmanning@vacation.karoshi.com
To: Jon Lewis <jlewis@lewis.org>
Cc: David Conrad <drc@virtualized.org>, nanog list <nanog@merit.edu>
In-Reply-To: <Pine.LNX.4.61.0708291836460.30395@soloth.lewis.org>
Errors-To: owner-nanog@merit.edu
On Wed, Aug 29, 2007 at 06:48:43PM -0400, Jon Lewis wrote:
>
> On Mon, 27 Aug 2007, David Conrad wrote:
>
> >For a few more months. What are upgrade cycles like again? How common
> >are the MSFC2s?
>
> I think we'll find out in a few months, when the "internet breaks" in a
> whole bunch of places where the admins aren't aware of this issue or
> operations have been downsized to the point that things are mostly on
> auto-pilot. I'm guessing there are a good number of Sup2's in use, and
> that a good % of them think they're fine...as they have 512MB RAM and on
> the software based routers, that's plenty for current full BGP routes.
private replies suggest (w/ lots of handwaving) that perhaps 20-35%
of the forwarding engines in use might fit this catagory.
> Anyone want to bet there will be people posting to nanog and cisco-nsp in
> a few months asking why either the CPU load on their Sup2's has suddenly
> shot up or why they keep noticing parts of the internet have gone
> unreachable?...oblivious to this thread.
that would be a sucker bet
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------
> Jon Lewis | I route
--bill