[98985] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: "2M today, 10M with no change in technology"? An informal
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (John Curran)
Mon Aug 27 21:54:58 2007
In-Reply-To: <Pine.LNX.4.61.0708272039180.30395@soloth.lewis.org>
Date: Mon, 27 Aug 2007 21:46:29 -0400
To: nanog list <nanog@merit.edu>
From: John Curran <jcurran@mail.com>
Errors-To: owner-nanog@merit.edu
At 8:50 PM -0400 8/27/07, Jon Lewis wrote:
>Unlike Y2K, the end of the useful service life up the Sup2 can easily be pushed further away in time.
>
>ASnum NetsNow NetsAggr NetGain % Gain Description
>....
>There's really only 151129 routes you need to have "full routes". Forcing just these top 4 slobs to aggregate reduces your global table by 3619 routes. Forcing the top 30 to aggregate frees up 15809 routes.
That's an additional ~5 months at the current rate of new
routes (and current ratio of customers per new routed block.)
There's a lot more than 3500 new customers per month globally
and if we get to the point where they are not coming out of
hierarchical PA space, the new monthly routing growth will
increase dramatically.
/John
