[98546] in North American Network Operators' Group

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Re: [ppml] too many variables

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Eliot Lear)
Mon Aug 13 08:30:19 2007

Date: Mon, 13 Aug 2007 14:29:14 +0200
From: Eliot Lear <lear@cisco.com>
To: ppml@arin.net, nanog@nanog.org
In-Reply-To: <20070810182455.GA57260@ussenterprise.ufp.org>
Errors-To: owner-nanog@merit.edu


Leo Bicknell wrote:
> To Bill's original e-mail.  Can we count on 2x every 18 months going
> forward?  No.  But betting on 2x every 24 months, and accounting for the
> delta between currently shipping and currently available hardware seems
> completely reasonable when assessing the real problem.
>   

This assumes "the real problem" is CPU performance, where many have 
argued that the real problem is memory bandwidth.  Memory doesn't track 
Moore's Law.  Besides, Moore's Law isn't a law.  What's your Plan B?  
This is where a lot of RRG/RAM work is going on right now.

Eliot




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