[90053] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Joseph S D Yao)
Fri Apr 21 10:20:14 2006
Date: Fri, 21 Apr 2006 07:05:35 -0400
From: Joseph S D Yao <jsdy@center.osis.gov>
To: Barry Shein <bzs@world.std.com>
Cc: nanog@merit.edu
Mail-Followup-To: Barry Shein <bzs@world.std.com>, nanog@merit.edu
In-Reply-To: <17477.33878.799346.168995@world.std.com>
Errors-To: owner-nanog@merit.edu
On Tue, Apr 18, 2006 at 08:29:10PM -0400, Barry Shein wrote:
>
> According to the wikipedia's quote of WHO the weighted average
> mortality rate, which would be across 50 human cases, is 66% in 2006,
> and 56% across all 194 cases reported since 2004.
>
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H5N1
But this is of cases that were (a) bad enough that the person went to a
doctor [mostly in countries where this is rare anyway] and (b) were
identified as something other than "drink plenty of chicken [or plomik]
soup, and it will go away in a few days".
Is there a report which extrapolates the UNREPORTED cases and estimates
the mortality rate from that? [And does anyone have any basis on which
to make these guesses?]
--
Joe Yao
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