[82807] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: as numbers
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Fredy Kuenzler)
Fri Jul 29 04:12:45 2005
Date: Fri, 29 Jul 2005 10:10:34 +0200
From: Fredy Kuenzler <kuenzler@init7.net>
To: nanog@nanog.org
In-Reply-To: <6.2.1.2.2.20050729092638.02c82d80@localhost>
Errors-To: owner-nanog@merit.edu
Henk Uijterwaal wrote:
> While this looks like a lot, it does not really solve any problem.
> Geoff's numbers show that the pool will expire in 5 years. Our
> estimate is a little bit longer, but not that much. 2010-2005 is 5
> years, if the trend that 20% never appears continues and all these
> ASN are revoked, this simply means that the pool will expire in 6
> years. 2010 or 2011 hardly makes a difference.
Also consider that there will be likely a clearance sale rush, so I
expect, unless there is a practical solution, the pool will expire even
earlier, 2008 or 2009.
Fredy
