[81912] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: Fundamental changes to Internet architecture
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Valdis.Kletnieks@vt.edu)
Sun Jul 3 14:05:01 2005
To: "Jay R. Ashworth" <jra@baylink.com>
Cc: nanog@merit.edu
In-Reply-To: Your message of "Sun, 03 Jul 2005 13:43:40 EDT."
<20050703134340.C27492@cgi.jachomes.com>
From: Valdis.Kletnieks@vt.edu
Date: Sun, 03 Jul 2005 14:04:02 -0400
Errors-To: owner-nanog@merit.edu
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On Sun, 03 Jul 2005 13:43:40 EDT, "Jay R. Ashworth" said:
> And the world demand for computers might someday approach 100?
To be fair to TJ Watson, please note that IBM was *already* engaged in
the production and sales of automated tabulating equipment, and when reading
his comment *in historical context*, it's pretty obvious that what he
*meant* by "computer" was "high end machine that only a few could afford".
In other words, what we now call a "supercomputer".
And sure enough, looking at the current Top500, http://www.top500.org/lists/plists.php?Y=2005&M=06
we see that only 6 sites have bought 20Tflops+ systems, but 19 are 10Tflop+,
and there's a *huge* pool of very similar smaller systems down in positions 300-500.
And this shape has remained remarkably consistent - anywhere from 3-7 systems that are
*way* out in the lead, a second string of several dozen smaller, and a huge pool
of lower-end machines. So TJ was totally right - at any given time, there's only
5-6 sites willing and able to buy that very top-end box....
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