[80829] in North American Network Operators' Group
RE: what will all you who work for private isp's be doing in a
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Jerry Pasker)
Thu May 12 18:44:15 2005
In-Reply-To: <C20551D859616F44BA07225CDA9DF5A16AF260@dc-mail.onelegal.com>
Date: Thu, 12 May 2005 17:41:55 -0500
To: nanog@merit.edu
From: Jerry Pasker <info@n-connect.net>
Errors-To: owner-nanog@merit.edu
>bottom line is that in a few years everything will be virtualized and
>cosolodation will rule the land.
I've heard this over and over again, and it's just not happened. I'm
still one of the few 100% facilities based dial ISPs left in Iowa,
and if I have to be reduced to being a reseller to survive, I'll just
close shop. But I don't see that happening. Sure, dial up will
eventually be a niche service, and that's fine, as most of my revenue
will be from other sources by the time that happens. If I ever have
to become a dial up reseller, it will be because my core business has
moved in another direction.
> there will be single turnkey solutions
>for the end user / corporate environment that will be infinitely
>configurable to meet the latest trends and needs.
Are you in a marketing department of some BigCo? "Let's produce a
single product that 100% of all customers can use, and that can
change depending on the latest fad of the day, and we'll rule the
marketplace!" If it were possible, wouldn't someone have already
done that? It sounds like something that would make for a good
Dilbert comic strip.
>there will be no use
>for the small time 'innovator' or 'player' except in a purely academic
>environment.
>
>
You must be new to this game. :-)
In Capitolism, there is always an innovator. They drive technology
forward, and then the mainstream follows. You're under the false
assumption that there will reach a point where there is nothing to
innovate in the areas of last mile IP net access, and consolidation
will make a single, regulated monopolistic provider.
I think we know that scenario won't be allowed to happen. By the
federal government regulators (I suppose that depends on the FCC), by
state regulators, or competition/capitalism in general.
BigCableCo, and BigTelco can fight over customers all they want, I'll
be happy with the table scraps. And since "single miracle product
that can be everything for everyone, and perfectly meets everyone's
needs" doesn't exist, and won't ever exist, there will be plenty of
scraps to be had.
-Jerry
