[71141] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: [Fwd: [IP] Japan facing bandwidth shortage due to take-up in broadband]
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Tony Li)
Wed Jun 9 21:12:47 2004
In-Reply-To: <40C7B22D.4080209@ai.net>
Cc: Suresh Ramasubramanian <suresh@outblaze.com>,
nanog <nanog@merit.edu>
From: Tony Li <tony.li@tony.li>
Date: Wed, 9 Jun 2004 18:12:08 -0700
To: Deepak Jain <deepak@ai.net>
Errors-To: owner-nanog-outgoing@merit.edu
>> With the current facilities as they are, a simple calculation shows
>> that
>> actual communications traffic will exceed the backbone's maximum
>> capacity as
>> soon as five years from now.
>
> Since when is this is a good indicator? If we ignore any of the growth
> in facility capacity in the last 5 years, wouldn't we all be in
> capacity -plus situations right now? I know we are moving more than
> our total capacity from 5 years ago.
>
I suggest that folks re-read and heed the words of Sage Bush. This
announcement is simply official marketing
to support a few facts: a) the government is officially acknowledging
the exponential growth of the Internet,
something that all here understood long ago, b) the government is now
supporting the development of a router
in Japan and this is the rationale for them to provide governmental
support for the 'lucrative' core router
market.
Tony
