[65304] in North American Network Operators' Group

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Re: Increase in traffic to/from DSL subs since August?

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Steven M. Bellovin)
Thu Nov 20 16:29:39 2003

From: "Steven M. Bellovin" <smb@research.att.com>
To: "Jared B. Reimer" <jared@theriver.com>
Cc: nanog@merit.edu
In-Reply-To: Your message of "Thu, 20 Nov 2003 13:00:35 PST."
             <6.0.0.22.2.20031120125430.031eaeb0@LOCALHOST> 
Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:28:59 -0500
Errors-To: owner-nanog-outgoing@merit.edu


In message <6.0.0.22.2.20031120125430.031eaeb0@LOCALHOST>, "Jared B. Reimer" wr
ites:
>
>Greetings.
>
>Another independent ISP operator and I have noticed a pretty significant 
>increase in traffic to and from our broadband (DSL) subscribers since 
>August.  It's been a fairly steady uptick, at least in my case, resulting 
>in a doubling of overall average traffic to/from these folks since then.
>
>Have others seen a similar trend?  Any thoughts as to what the cause may 
>be?  Our best guess a virus/worm, possibly being used as a spam relay or 
>other proxy at this point...
>

At the IETF Plenary, Bernard Aboba showed a graph of spam, with a 
marked uptick since SoBig.F in August.  My guess is worm-deposited spam
relays, though Joel's guess of Nachi or Welchia can't be ruled out, 
either, without flow data.


		--Steve Bellovin, http://www.research.att.com/~smb



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