[60674] in North American Network Operators' Group

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NERC summer 2003 power predictions

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Sean Donelan)
Thu Aug 14 21:12:06 2003

Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 19:34:24 -0400 (EDT)
From: Sean Donelan <sean@donelan.com>
To: nanog@merit.edu
Errors-To: owner-nanog-outgoing@merit.edu


From North American Electric Reliability Council May 2003 Reliability
Summer Assessment

Assessment Summary

Generating resources are expected to be adequate to meet projected demand
for electricity in North America this summer. However, there are some
areas of concern in NPCC: southwestern Connecticut, New York City and
Long Island. Locally tight resources compounded by transmission
limitations into and within those areas make them particularly susceptible
to reliability problems that can be caused  if there is lower than
expected generating unit availability, or high demand caused by extreme
weather.

Even in areas where resources are expected to be adequate, unanticipated
equipment problems and extreme weather can combine to produce situations
in which demands temporarily  exceed available generation and transmission
capacity.



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