[37611] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: More demand or less supply?
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Robert E. Seastrom)
Fri May 18 10:14:18 2001
To: Sean Donelan <sean@donelan.com>
Cc: nanog@merit.edu
From: rs@seastrom.com (Robert E. Seastrom)
Date: 18 May 2001 10:11:44 -0400
In-Reply-To: Sean Donelan's message of "18 May 2001 02:34:05 -0700"
Message-ID: <8766eyeogv.fsf@valhalla.seastrom.com>
Errors-To: owner-nanog-outgoing@merit.edu
Sean Donelan <sean@donelan.com> writes:
> Why is 2 to 3 times more capacity offline this year compared with previous
> years? I don't know. It appears the "supply" shortage is not due to
> increased demand, or even the lack of new power plant capacity; but due
> to the shutdown of existing capacity by generation companies at a higher
> rate than normal.
My understanding is that there is a seasonal "online / maint" cycle
for the generation plants, and that many of them were not taken
offline for normal PM several months ago because of energy usage
_then_... my unsubstantiated guess would be that just like letting
your car go 30,000 miles between a pair of oil changes,
procrastination of the maint cycle eventually comes home to roost and
that's what we're seeing now.
---Rob
