[33579] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: Forcasts, why won't anyone believe them?
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (John Fraizer)
Tue Jan 16 23:27:57 2001
Date: Tue, 16 Jan 2001 23:22:22 -0500 (EST)
From: John Fraizer <nanog@EnterZone.Net>
To: "Richard A. Steenbergen" <ras@e-gerbil.net>
Cc: Sean Donelan <sean@donelan.com>, nanog@merit.edu
In-Reply-To: <Pine.BSF.4.21.0101161902030.88311-100000@overlord.e-gerbil.net>
Message-ID: <Pine.LNX.4.21.0101162319440.1279-100000@Overkill.EnterZone.Net>
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Errors-To: owner-nanog-outgoing@merit.edu
On Tue, 16 Jan 2001, Richard A. Steenbergen wrote:
>
> On Tue, Jan 16, 2001 at 03:43:31PM -0800, Sean Donelan wrote:
> >
> > 10 years ago, how many folks remember going to the phone company and
> > telling them "I need 600 phone lines in my basement." And the phone
> > company replying, "No one needs 600 phone lines, here is 6." "No
> > really, I need 600 lines in the next 12 months." The phone company
> > replies, "When you need them, then we'll install them." "How long will
> > it take." The phone company replies, "Don't worry, we know what we're
> > doing, that's none of your concern."
>
> To be fair, if all the customers in a colo used the amount of bandwidth
> they predicted they would at the rate they would, current facilities would
> be out of capacity after a few dozen racks. Most customers can't predict
> for squat, so when a real figure comes along it takes more work to make
> sure its believable.
>
> --
> Richard A Steenbergen <ras@e-gerbil.net> http://www.e-gerbil.net/humble
> PGP Key ID: 0x138EA177 (67 29 D7 BC E8 18 3E DA B2 46 B3 D8 14 36 FE B6)
>
>
OK. Your estimate might be correct for some companies. With my company,
if a customer doesn't have a clue what they're going to draw, we monitor
them like a parole officer on steroids so there are no
misunderstandings. Power is just as easy if you understand how to measure
it. Get a new piece of equipment, measure its drain. "Profile" it if you
will.
---
John Fraizer
EnterZone, Inc
