[33572] in North American Network Operators' Group

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Re: Forcasts, why won't anyone believe them?

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Richard A. Steenbergen)
Tue Jan 16 19:08:51 2001

Date: Tue, 16 Jan 2001 19:06:40 -0500 (EST)
From: "Richard A. Steenbergen" <ras@e-gerbil.net>
To: Sean Donelan <sean@donelan.com>
Cc: nanog@merit.edu
Message-ID: <Pine.BSF.4.21.0101161902030.88311-100000@overlord.e-gerbil.net>
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Errors-To: owner-nanog-outgoing@merit.edu


On Tue, Jan 16, 2001 at 03:43:31PM -0800, Sean Donelan wrote:
>
> 10 years ago, how many folks remember going to the phone company and
> telling them "I need 600 phone lines in my basement."  And the phone
> company replying, "No one needs 600 phone lines, here is 6." "No
> really, I need 600 lines in the next 12 months."  The phone company
> replies, "When you need them, then we'll install them." "How long will
> it take."  The phone company replies, "Don't worry, we know what we're
> doing, that's none of your concern."

To be fair, if all the customers in a colo used the amount of bandwidth
they predicted they would at the rate they would, current facilities would
be out of capacity after a few dozen racks. Most customers can't predict
for squat, so when a real figure comes along it takes more work to make
sure its believable.

-- 
Richard A Steenbergen <ras@e-gerbil.net>   http://www.e-gerbil.net/humble
PGP Key ID: 0x138EA177  (67 29 D7 BC E8 18 3E DA  B2 46 B3 D8 14 36 FE B6)



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