[196116] in North American Network Operators' Group

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Re: Question about Customer Population by ASN for Canada

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Geoff Huston)
Tue Oct 3 05:17:52 2017

X-Original-To: nanog@nanog.org
From: Geoff Huston <gih@apnic.net>
In-Reply-To: <CALKrK4myA8Scy3DBNCn45SLCdHFD9kDHQeiEGKhhnyXhcH47eg@mail.gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 3 Oct 2017 09:38:20 +1100
To: Eric Dugas <edugas@unknowndevice.ca>
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Errors-To: nanog-bounces@nanog.org


> On 3 Oct 2017, at 7:17 am, Eric Dugas <edugas@unknowndevice.ca> wrote:
>=20
> For some reason my previous email was empty.
>=20
> What I wrote:
>=20
> "Some of these numbers are largely inflated...
>=20
> e.g. Teksavvy at 937,855 estimated users. How can they have 937,855 =
users
> if they "only" have 686,848 IPv4 (https://bgp.he.net/AS5645)?
>=20
> Also, Allstream/Zayo AS15290 has a lot of IPs but it's mostly =
corps/govs.
> So it's a mix of inflated and false positives.

I wish there was better public data we could use here to generate these =
numbers.

But there is a dearth of such numbers that are vaguely current =
relatively inclusive
and not completely stupid.

So we use the ad placement mechanism as an indirect pointer to user =
count. Its very rough,
and at best one can say that there are large, medium and small eyeball =
networks, and
to a first order the algorithm appears to identify networks into these =
three categories.

I am not trying to tie in address density here - I=E2=80=99m not even =
sure that would be wise
because, as you well know, NATs hide all kinds of sins and virtues.

Geoff



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