[181539] in North American Network Operators' Group

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Re: ARIN just subdivided their last /17, /18, /19, /20, /21 and /22.

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Mikael Abrahamsson)
Sat Jun 27 10:54:22 2015

X-Original-To: nanog@nanog.org
Date: Sat, 27 Jun 2015 16:54:17 +0200 (CEST)
From: Mikael Abrahamsson <swmike@swm.pp.se>
To: Rafael Possamai <rafael@gav.ufsc.br>
In-Reply-To: <CAJB2g-Hy8kg8z9UmYyaXwsqxRkCz40fb8XdEsE25N=RFMuaQAQ@mail.gmail.com>
Cc: North American Network Operators' Group <nanog@nanog.org>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces@nanog.org

On Sat, 27 Jun 2015, Rafael Possamai wrote:

> How long do you think it will take to completely get rid of IPv4? Or is 
> it even going to happen at all?

I believe somewhere around 2018-2025 a lot of ISPs, hosting providers etc 
will start to treat IPv4 as a second rate citizen and for the people still 
single-stacked to IPv4 by then, the Internet experience is going to become 
so bad that they'll beg to get IPv6 and the ones not providing it will 
feel severe business impact of not doing IPv6.

Mobile providers will be the first huge ones to go IPv6 only to the 
devices, which will mean that from your mobile device, IPv4 will most 
likely work worse than IPv6. Then it's downhill from there.

-- 
Mikael Abrahamsson    email: swmike@swm.pp.se

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