[171980] in North American Network Operators' Group

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Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Owen DeLong)
Sun May 18 18:00:31 2014

X-Original-To: nanog@nanog.org
From: Owen DeLong <owen@delong.com>
In-Reply-To: <53766FE2.1030209@mtcc.com>
Date: Sun, 18 May 2014 11:50:29 -0700
To: Michael Thomas <mike@mtcc.com>
Cc: NANOG <nanog@nanog.org>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces@nanog.org


On May 16, 2014, at 1:06 PM, Michael Thomas <mike@mtcc.com> wrote:

> Scott Helms wrote:
>> Mike,
>> In my experience you're not alone, just in a really tiny group.  As I =
said I have direct eyeballs on ~500k devices and the ability to see =
another 10 million anytime I want and the percentage of people who cap =
their upstream in both of those sample groups for more than 15 minutes =
(over the last 3 years) is about 0.2%.  Interestingly if a customer does =
it once they have about a 70% chance of doing it regularly.
>=20
> Well, given Sling, Dropbox, iCloud, pervasive video calls (you have =
heard about webrtc, yes?
> 24/7 babycams!), youtube, etc, etc, I won't be a "tiny group" for =
long.
>=20
> Mike

Yes=85 Scott is making what I consider a classic mistake. Attempting to =
define the future in terms of the limitations that users have adapted to =
from the past. Eventually, users do realize that the limitations are no =
longer necessary and then they won=92t accept them.

Unfortunately, this takes far longer than is desirable.

Fortunately, this gives proactive and innovative service providers the =
opportunity to adapt the technology and remove those limitations before =
the users care.

Unfortunately, it also gives other service providers the opportunity to =
try and hold users back even after they care.

IIRC, there are awards in both categories.

Owen


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