[170013] in North American Network Operators' Group

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Re: misunderstanding scale (was: Ipv4 end, its fake.)

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Mark Tinka)
Sun Mar 23 11:15:39 2014

From: Mark Tinka <mark.tinka@seacom.mu>
To: John Levine <johnl@iecc.com>
Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2014 17:14:46 +0200
In-Reply-To: <20140323051037.94159.qmail@joyce.lan>
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Reply-To: mark.tinka@seacom.mu
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org

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On Sunday, March 23, 2014 07:10:37 AM John Levine wrote:

> In Africa, I suppose, but here in North America, the few
> remaining ISPs that aren't part of giant cable or phone
> companies are hanging on by their teeth.

Incidentally, this doesn't apply to Africa today, because=20
AFRINIC still have lots of IPv4 space to feed any new=20
entrant to their heart's content.

I have mates in Asia-Pac, North America and Europe that will=20
be the ones sweating if they are a new start-up.

A friend recently started a mobile operation in Malaysia two=20
years ago. You can imagine the problem they are having=20
rolling out and scaling their 3G/3G data service.

And if AFRINIC do run out of their IPv4 space, I can almost=20
guarantee you that any new start-ups in Africa will NOT be=20
able to have "IPv4 acquisition" line items in their budget.

> Also, although it is fashionable to say how awful CGN is,
> the users don't seem to mind it at all.

Users won't complain until the CGN starts to do bad things=20
to their traffic, like run out of Layer 4 ports per IP=20
address due to increasing connectedness of applications, add=20
delay to applications getting network, CGN failure, traffic=20
tromboning e.t.c.

Operators of CGN's will cry at some point. It's different=20
for different operators, as some are happy throwing millions=20
of CGN $$ at the problem.

Mark.

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