[168470] in North American Network Operators' Group

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Re: Will a single /27 get fully routed these days?

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Sander Steffann)
Sun Jan 26 07:00:05 2014

From: Sander Steffann <sander@steffann.nl>
In-Reply-To: <m2a9ejozb4.wl%randy@psg.com>
Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2014 12:59:46 +0100
To: Randy Bush <randy@psg.com>
Cc: North American Network Operators' Group <nanog@nanog.org>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org

Hi Randy,

> i suspect that, as multi-homing continues to grow and ipv4 space
> fragments to be used in core-facing nat[64]-like things, a decade from
> now we'll see the boundary move to the right.

Maybe, if the equipment can handle the number of routes. I actually see =
two opposing things: the scarcity will require more fragmentation with =
smaller fragments, which requires less strict filtering. On the other =
hand the fragmentation will already start with e.g. /20s being =
fragmented into /24s. That might already cause problems for current =
hardware, which might cause people to filter more strictly. =
Unfortunately my crystal ball is broken at the moment.

When ARIN starts allocating /28s from the reserved /10 in =B112 months I =
wonder which direction it will go... I hope for the ARIN region that the =
majority of operators globally will loosen up their filters for at least =
that /10 within those 12 months so the allocations will actually be =
usable. For that to happen it would be very useful to know *which* /10 =
has been reserved in 2012 though... 12 months is not much for global =
communication, education and filter adjustments.

And anyway, who needs IPv4 a decade from now? ;)

Cheers,
Sander



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