[162529] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (staticsafe)
Wed Apr 24 10:41:06 2013
Date: Tue, 23 Apr 2013 18:36:20 -0400
From: staticsafe <me@staticsafe.ca>
To: nanog@nanog.org
In-Reply-To: <20130423220423.GA98069@ussenterprise.ufp.org>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
On 4/23/2013 18:04, Leo Bicknell wrote:
> In a message written on Tue, Apr 23, 2013 at 05:41:40PM -0400,
> Valdis Kletnieks wrote:
>> I didn't see any mention of this Tony Hain paper:
>>
>> http://tndh.net/~tony/ietf/ARIN-runout-projection.pdf
>>
>> tl;dr: ARIN predicted to run out of IP space to allocate in
>> August this year.
>
> Here's a Geoff Houston report from 2005:
> https://www.arin.net/participate/meetings/reports/ARIN_XVI/PDF/wednesday/huston_ipv4_roundtable.pdf
>
> I point to page 8, and the prediction "RIR Pool Exhaustion, 4
> June 2013".
>
> Those of us who paid attention are well prepared.
>
> tl;dr: Real statistical models properly executed in 2005 were
> remarkably close to the reality 8 years later.
>
On that note, something Mr. Huston wrote more recently:
"A Primer on IPv4, IPv6 and Transition"
http://www.potaroo.net/ispcol/2013-04/primer.html
Discussion:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5586519
--
staticsafe
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