[161418] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: What Should an Engineer Address when 'Selling' IPv6 to Executives?
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Owen DeLong)
Tue Mar 12 16:51:45 2013
From: Owen DeLong <owen@delong.com>
In-Reply-To: <CAP-guGXar14Yo9K2xmnKs3-z3hJF8u443Bk+cZvCemoH6R4qrA@mail.gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 12 Mar 2013 13:46:38 -0700
To: William Herrin <bill@herrin.us>
Cc: "nanog@nanog.org" <nanog@nanog.org>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
On Mar 12, 2013, at 12:27 PM, William Herrin <bill@herrin.us> wrote:
> On Tue, Mar 12, 2013 at 1:45 PM, Owen DeLong <owen@delong.com> wrote:
>> Once IPv6 is sufficiently ubiquitous (rough estimate,
>> but say 900+ of the Alexa 1000 sites have IPv6 and ~95%
>> of eyeball networks), you'll see a rapidly declining desire to
>> pay the increased cost of supporting IPv4.
>=20
> While that is surely true, it's not on a trajectory to happen this
> year. Or next year. Or the year after that. Call dual-stack an
> "intermediate" solution. Treat is as "temporary" or "very temporary"
> at your peril.
That really depends on how you view the trajectory.
If you treat it as linear, you're absolutely right. OTOH, if you curve =
fit it,
it depends on which curve-fitting algorithm you use, but it still looks =
like
you might be right.
If you look at industry trends, however, it's been growth spurts due to
events that have created most of the growth. I suspect that most of the
Alexa 1,000 will be doing something around IPv6 in the next 2 years
and that anyone not doing IPv6 in 3 years will have a real hard time
staying in the top 1000.
Owen
