[158366] in North American Network Operators' Group

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Re: "Programmers can't get IPv6 thus that is why they do not have

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Owen DeLong)
Thu Nov 29 00:31:32 2012

From: Owen DeLong <owen@delong.com>
In-Reply-To: <47486090-B3D3-421A-AD54-49EE16A3C1D1@arbor.net>
Date: Wed, 28 Nov 2012 21:27:41 -0800
To: "Dobbins, Roland" <rdobbins@arbor.net>
Cc: NANOG list <nanog@nanog.org>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org


On Nov 28, 2012, at 4:17 PM, "Dobbins, Roland" <rdobbins@arbor.net> =
wrote:

>=20
> On Nov 29, 2012, at 3:04 AM, Tony Hain wrote:
>=20
>> Getting the cpe vendors to ship in quantity requires the ISP =
engineering organizations to say in unison "we are deploying IPv6 and =
will only recommend products that pass testing".
>=20
> Do you see any evidence of that occurring?  I don't.
>=20
Yes.

Comcast, Cable Labs, Time Warner are doing pretty well at this now. =
Others there is room for improvement, but it's definitely better than a =
year ago.

> Also, a lot of broadband consumers and enterprise organizations buy =
and deploy their own CPE.  Do you see a lot of IPv6 activity there?  I =
don't, excepting an IPv6 RFP checkbox for enterprises, which doesn't =
have any formal requirements and is essentially meaningless because of =
that fact.

Very little, but, most of those buy based on the "supported device" list =
from their carrier, so=85

>=20
>> You claim to be looking for the economic incentive, but are looking =
with such a short time horizon that all you see are the 'waste' products =
vendors
>> are pushing to make a quick sale, knowing that you will eventually =
come back for yet-another-hack to delay transition, and prop up your =
expertise in a
>> legacy technology.
>=20
> No.
>=20
> What I am looking for is an economic incentive which will justify the =
[IMHO] wildly overoptimisitic claims which some are making in re =
ubiquitous end-to-end native IPv6 deployment.
>=20
> Otherwise, I believe it will be a much more gradual adoption curve, as =
you indicate.
>=20

The inability to add customers to IPv4 will become a factor in this. 60% =
of the world's population still isn't on the internet and I expect a =
significant fraction of that will be coming on in the next 2-4 years.

Owen



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