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Re: Big day for IPv6 - 1% native penetration

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Dobbins, Roland)
Mon Nov 26 06:24:39 2012

From: "Dobbins, Roland" <rdobbins@arbor.net>
To: NANOG list <nanog@nanog.org>
Date: Mon, 26 Nov 2012 11:24:22 +0000
In-Reply-To: <m2y5hobphs.wl%randy@psg.com>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org


On Nov 26, 2012, at 5:57 PM, Randy Bush wrote:

> almost all ip traffic is unintentional.

Sure.  But my point is the notion that observed IPv6 traffic volumes are du=
e to deliberate migration is not correct.

> when the average consumer (real) broadband connection becomes v6 capable,=
 about 40% of the traffic is instantly ipv6, thank you netflix, facebook, n=
etflix, google, netflix, and netflix.

'When', or 'if'?  The creeping proliferation of CGNs and the like, along wi=
th your example of TVs and oblique point about the sparsity of IPv6-enabled=
 content/services/applications, does not necessarily support the conclusion=
 that wholesale migration within the near- or medium-terms is inevitable.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Roland Dobbins <rdobbins@arbor.net> // <http://www.arbornetworks.com>

	  Luck is the residue of opportunity and design.

		       -- John Milton



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