[158088] in North American Network Operators' Group
RE: Big day for IPv6 - 1% native penetration
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Tony Hain)
Tue Nov 20 14:45:22 2012
From: "Tony Hain" <alh-ietf@tndh.net>
To: "'Mike Jones'" <mike@mikejones.in>,
"'Patrick W. Gilmore'" <patrick@ianai.net>
In-Reply-To: <CAAAas8H+pMp_o5ryDVhad83zGBKZz+T2sqC0DtVMxk_xV9kWBA@mail.gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 20 Nov 2012 11:44:56 -0800
X-SA-Exim-Mail-From: alh-ietf@tndh.net
Cc: 'NANOG list' <nanog@nanog.org>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
Mike Jones wrote:
>=20
> On 20 November 2012 16:05, Patrick W. Gilmore <patrick@ianai.net> =
wrote:
> > On Nov 20, 2012, at 08:45 , Owen DeLong <owen@delong.com> wrote:
> >
> >> It is entirely possible that Google's numbers are artificially low
> >> for a number of reasons.
> >
> > AMS-IX publishes stats too:
> > <https://stats.ams-ix.net/sflow/>
> >
> > This is probably a better view of overall percentage on the Internet =
than a
> specific company's content. It shows order of 0.5%.
> >
> > Why do you think Google's numbers are lower than the real total?
> >
>=20
> They are also different stats which is why they give such different =
numbers.
>=20
> In a theoretical world with evenly distributed traffic patterns if 1% =
of users
> were IPv6 enabled it would require 100% of content to be IPv6 enabled
> before your traffic stats would show 1% of traffic going over IPv6.
>=20
> If these figures are representative (google saying 1% of users and =
AMSIX
> saying 0.5% of traffic) then it would indicate that dual stacked users =
can push
> ~50% of their traffic over IPv6. If this is even close to reality then =
that would
> be quite an achievement.
If you assume that Youtube/Facebook/Netflix are 50% of the overall =
traffic, why wouldn't a dual stacked end point have half of its traffic =
as IPv6 after June???
Tony
