[131229] in North American Network Operators' Group
RE: IPv4 sunset date set for 2019-12-31
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Deepak Jain)
Thu Oct 21 14:59:43 2010
From: Deepak Jain <deepak@ai.net>
To: Claudio Jeker <cjeker@diehard.n-r-g.com>, "nanog@nanog.org"
<nanog@nanog.org>
Date: Thu, 21 Oct 2010 14:59:29 -0400
In-Reply-To: <20101021181930.GD15591@diehard.n-r-g.com>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
> They would be out of business the day they turn IPv4 off. So it will
> not
> happen.
IMO, this will not be a decision made by ICANN or a network provider. This =
will be made by a platform/OS company.
Basically, once IPv6 is presumed ubiquitous (it doesn't have to be actually=
ubiquitous) -- just if you can't reach something by IPv6 you assume it's t=
he far-side's problem -- IPv4 becomes a relic from a business point-of-view=
, because anyone who doesn't support it is not presumed to be at fault.=20
Microsoft, Apple, or gee-whiz-new-gadget guy simply has to come out with th=
e next revision of their killer product that has dropped support for it. Ma=
ny may complain, but with those that have sufficient market power to not se=
e a significant affect (and can justify retasking their internal developmen=
t resources who no longer have to regression test IPv4 stuff against any pe=
rceived customer loss) will do it -- they'll probably call it an upgrade.=20
It's been done before. It'll happen again.=20
This doesn't mean IPv4 will disappear. Just like the 20+ year old machines =
that are still on the net via IPv4 -> legacy protocol gateways, pockets of =
IPv4 may exist for decades via similar devices -- but at that point, we jus=
t dismiss those guys as crackpots.
Anyone have an IPv6 coke machine yet?
Deepak
