[128464] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Roland Perry)
Mon Aug 9 16:30:47 2010
Date: Mon, 9 Aug 2010 21:29:12 +0100
To: nanog@nanog.org
From: Roland Perry <lists@internetpolicyagency.com>
In-Reply-To: <4C6030BF.1030306@foobar.org>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
In article <4C6030BF.1030306@foobar.org>, Nick Hilliard
<nick@foobar.org> writes
>On 09/08/2010 16:12, Christopher Morrow wrote:
>> I think, from another list about 2 yrs ago, the person responsible for
>> this data inside the company at the time (now not there) said someone
>> misinterpreted his stats/numbers...
>
>No doubt this is true. And I note we haven't even started discussing
>whether this "doubling every N time periods" refers to bit-rate, bytes
>passed or daily max.
In the case of LINX traffic it was bits-per-second; any of: average,
peak or total per day, because the shape of the daily and weekly curve
didn't change much even over a period of years.
>I would have said that most networks during that period had occasional
>burst growth rates of up to 100% within 100 days. The growth curve
>second derivative is usually much bumpier than the first derivative.
>So, regardless of source, the quotation is a truism, an urban myth and
>ultimately means very little.
Growth at LINX was extremely steady (being an aggregate of over a
hundred operators).
--
Roland Perry
