[128455] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Nick Hilliard)
Mon Aug 9 12:46:06 2010
X-Envelope-To: nanog@nanog.org
Date: Mon, 09 Aug 2010 17:45:51 +0100
From: Nick Hilliard <nick@foobar.org>
To: Christopher Morrow <morrowc.lists@gmail.com>
In-Reply-To: <AANLkTina+hT2pRox=_QNNy8xD6rfqYdxBC-yVhWFEJ5C@mail.gmail.com>
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
On 09/08/2010 16:12, Christopher Morrow wrote:
> I think, from another list about 2 yrs ago, the person responsible for
> this data inside the company at the time (now not there) said someone
> misinterpreted his stats/numbers...
No doubt this is true. And I note we haven't even started discussing
whether this "doubling every N time periods" refers to bit-rate, bytes
passed or daily max.
I would have said that most networks during that period had occasional
burst growth rates of up to 100% within 100 days. The growth curve second
derivative is usually much bumpier than the first derivative. So,
regardless of source, the quotation is a truism, an urban myth and
ultimately means very little.
Nick
