[128449] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Randy Bush)
Mon Aug 9 07:58:54 2010
Date: Mon, 09 Aug 2010 04:58:39 -0700
From: Randy Bush <randy@psg.com>
To: Roland Perry <lists@internetpolicyagency.com>
In-Reply-To: <uV5sqGaJ27XMFA3C@perry.co.uk>
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
while most of us seem to remember traffic doubling every nine months or
a year (and some have memories of that being the meme then) [0],
capacity build was massively above that level. think of the compound
rate one gets when one substitutes owned wet glass for a few leased
stm-1s. to quote a friend
if a network's capacity grows O(10**6) in 6 years, measured in
miles*gigabits/sec, how would you describe it?
randy
--
[0] - we're seeing about 50% broadband growth a year in japan according
to thems that track, see Kenjiro Cho. "Broadband Traffic Report"
Internet Infrastructure Review vol.4, pp18-23. August 2009.
