[123385] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: IP4 Space
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (David Conrad)
Fri Mar 5 17:10:42 2010
From: David Conrad <drc@virtualized.org>
In-Reply-To: <59AEDC03-BCC7-4027-8818-CF6353455BE8@delong.com>
Date: Fri, 5 Mar 2010 17:08:50 -0500
To: Owen DeLong <owen@delong.com>
Cc: "nanog@nanog.org list" <nanog@nanog.org>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
On Mar 5, 2010, at 1:21 PM, Owen DeLong wrote:
>> The interesting question is at what point _can_ you do what you want =
without IPv4. It seems obvious that that point will be after the IPv4 =
free pool is exhausted, and as such, allocated-but-not-efficiently-used =
addresses will likely become worth the effort to reclaim.
>>=20
> Ah, but, that assumes that the need is located in a similar part of =
the network
> to the reclamation, or, that the point of reclamation can be =
sufficiently motivated
> to do so by the money offered by the point of need.
Actually, no, not really. When you're dying of thirst, even muddy water =
can be mighty appealing. The fact that some prefixes you obtain may be =
filtered because they're too short merely means you have additional =
costs to reach the sites you care about. Don't know many ISPs that =
guarantee universal connectivity outside their own network today. Not =
sure why that would change in the future.
> I suspect the organizations that have excess space and know where it =
is are
> likely to hold onto it as a hedge against their future needs, or, try =
to extract
> a very high market premium for it.
Such folks will also have to take into consideration opportunity cost. =
Or they could make the strategic decision that all they really need is =
one or two ISP-provided public IPv4 addresses (in addition to IPv6) for =
their NATv4 box and public servers is all they really need and lease to =
their ISP the blocks they currently have in exchange for free =
connectivity or whatever. Etc. Myriad of possibilities.
The point is that when the IPv4 free pool is exhausted, there will be =
disruptive change. It isn't clear to me that pretty much any of the =
existing policies or practices regarding IPv4 addressing will continue =
to apply. I've been disappointed that some folks in the RIR communities =
have been unable to understand this. Gave up arguing as I figure time =
will tell one way or the other.
Regards,
-drc