[122272] in North American Network Operators' Group
Re: Google to offer fiber to end users
daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Jared Mauch)
Wed Feb 10 17:21:08 2010
From: Jared Mauch <jared@puck.nether.net>
In-Reply-To: <4B732BD7.9010608@knownelement.com>
Date: Wed, 10 Feb 2010 17:18:34 -0500
To: Charles N Wyble <charles@knownelement.com>
Cc: Nanog <nanog@nanog.org>
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org
On Feb 10, 2010, at 4:57 PM, Charles N Wyble wrote:
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>=20
> Jared Mauch wrote:
>> I think it's great!
>>=20
>> I've been preparing to float a similar idea locally.
>>=20
>> If this is how they use their market cap, I would love for them to do =
it in my local market, which does seem to hold a near-and-dear place in =
the heart of some google C* types.
>>=20
>> - Jared
>>=20
>> * Local details/breakdown: http://puck.nether.net/~jared/blog/?p=3D84
>=20
> Awesome write up.
>=20
> Has anyone in the NANOG community been approached by google? I mean
> presumably this would require a massive coordination effort with
> existing exchange points etc. Or is google going to simply build an
> entire long haul network as well? Perhaps combine this with the =
containers?
Thanks. I want to codify it to something more (average) human-readable =
before I socialize it in the local community.
This sort of investment could have some immediate payback, esp if you =
have local utility (water, power) buy-in. The challenge I see is having =
the political will to undertake the project. If you adjust rates up =
over the first few years until the principal is paid off, the payoff =
could happen in short-order and remain competitive. =20
Deploying microcell/picocell technology would be easy and could save =
people like AT&T Mobility/Cingular part of their billions they look to =
pay for network upgrades. A large scale project here could possibly be =
done (on-poles) for as low as $44m, and possibly lower as economies of =
scale come in to play.
I'm hoping someone here reading from GOOG will suggest to any local Ann =
Arbor Alum (eg: Larry Page) that this would be a chump-change investment =
that would revolutionize telecommunication in the US.
I scaled my model up to Michigan-size (for fun) and came up with a cost =
somewhere around 1 Billion to run fiber down every public roadway. =
Taking the GOOG market cap of ~170Bln, and if I consider Michigan =
average (don't know, but please stick with me), this could be done for a =
small part of their market cap, and ROI could be at a reasonable speed. =
GE and 10GE optics that can do 70km are cheap, sometimes lower cost than =
that HDTV you just bought, this would make life very interesting...
- Jared=
