[113483] in North American Network Operators' Group

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RE: Fiber cut in SF area

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (chris.ranch@nokia.com)
Mon Apr 13 17:28:31 2009

From: <chris.ranch@nokia.com>
To: <beckman@angryox.com>
Date: Mon, 13 Apr 2009 23:25:54 +0200
In-Reply-To: <alpine.BSF.2.00.0904131529520.33425@nog.angryox.com>
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Errors-To: nanog-bounces+nanog.discuss=bloom-picayune.mit.edu@nanog.org

Hi Peter,

You wrote:
>  So, let's see.  I'm pulling numbers out of my butt here,=20

<snip>=20

>  Total cost...is about $3000 per mile for equipment

<snip>

> It could run on an overhead monorail

<snip>

> Network it all

<snip>

> Confickr-type domains to make sure=20

I get the feeling you haven't deployed or operated large networks.  You nev=
er did say what the multiplier was.  How many miles or detection nodes ther=
e were.  Think millions.  The number that popped into my head when thinking=
 of active detection measures for the physical network is $billions.

Joel is right: the thing about the outdoors is there's a lot of it.  The co=
st over time investment of copper and fiber communucations networks, power =
transmission networks, cable transmission networks is pretty well documente=
d elsewhere.  Google around a little for them.  The investment is tremendou=
s.

All for a couple of minutes advanced notice of an outage?  Would it reduce =
the risk?  No.  Would it reduce the MTBF or MTTR?  No.  Of all outages, how=
 often does this scenario (or one that would trigger your alarm) occur?  I'=
m sure it's down on the list.

>> Then amortize that out to our bills.  Extra credit: would=20
>you pay for it?
>
>  Assuming bills in the hundreds of thousands of dollars per=20
>month, maybe to
>  the millions of dollars, and then figure out what an outage costs you
>  according to the SLAs.
>
>  Then figure out how much a breach and subsequent fiber cut=20
>costs you in
>  SLA payouts or credits, multiply by 25%, and that's your=20
>budget.  If the
>  proposed system is less, why wouldn't you do it?

SLA's account for force de majure (including sabotage), so I really doubt t=
here will be any credits.  In fact, there will likely be an uptick on spend=
ing as those who really need nines build multi-provider multi-path diversit=
y.  Here come the microwave towers!

>  The idea is inspired by the way Google does their datacenters -- use
>  cheap, off-the-shelf hardware, network it together in smart=20
>ways, make it
>  energy efficient, ... profit!

Works great inside four walls.=20

>  Anyone want to invest?  Maybe I should start the business.

Nahh, I already have a web cam on my Smarties orb.  What else do I really n=
eed?

Chris=


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