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Re: human failings question

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (Ray Dillinger)
Wed Oct 4 18:17:14 2000

Date: Tue, 3 Oct 2000 19:36:10 -0700 (PDT)
From: Ray Dillinger <bear@sonic.net>
To: "Nina H. Fefferman" <feferman@Math.Princeton.EDU>
Cc: coderpunks@toad.com, cryptography@c2.net
In-Reply-To: <Pine.LNX.4.21.0010032103510.28648-100000@Math.Princeton.EDU>
Message-ID: <Pine.LNX.4.21.0010031923500.1207-100000@bolt.sonic.net>
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There've been some observations based on captured soviet 
one-time pads (in the sixties, when they still had cipher 
clerks they were telling "type randomly" instead of using 
computers to generate better quality randomness). They're 
probably not what you're looking for because the alphabet 
is different, but they're interesting. (this is all from 
_The_Codebreakers_ by Kahn)

To start with, in one-time pads that were supposed to use the 
digits 0 to 9 as their alphabet, the cipher clerks tended to 
alternate digits in the 1-5 group with digits in the 6-0 group 
more than random chance would predict -- which corresponds to 
alternating left-hand and right-hand keystrokes. 

When the pad groups were supposed to be in cipher groups of 5 
characters, a markedly too large percentage of the groups 
started with digits in the 0-5 group -- corresponding to 
someone hitting the spacebar with their right thumb and 
then starting a new group with their left hand.

Another pervasive effect, and as far as anyone could tell 
independent of the tendency toward left-right alternation, 
was a marked tendency to avoid sequences where two or 
three digits were the same - when a digit repeated, apparently 
it didn't look "random" enough to the humans involved, so 
even though they knew that doubles and triples should happen 
occasionally, they did it far less than a random distribution 
would have.  

On a binary alphabet, I don't know any good source of info.

Hope this helps....
				Ray



On Tue, 3 Oct 2000, Nina H. Fefferman wrote:

>
>
>	Hi all, 
>
>	Does anyone know where (if at all) I can find statistics for the
>predictable strings humans tend to produce when asked to create a
>"random" sequence of zeros and ones? Maybe cognitive science papers?
>	Has anyone seen these?
>
>	Thanks, 
>
>		Nina Fefferman
>
>



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