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street prices for digital goods?

daemon@ATHENA.MIT.EDU (David Molnar)
Wed Sep 10 09:44:52 2008

Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2008 00:12:40 -0700
From: David Molnar <dmolnar@eecs.berkeley.edu>
To: cryptography@metzdowd.com

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Dan Geer's comment about the street price of heroin as a metric for=20
success has me thinking - are people tracking the street prices of=20
digital underground goods over time? The Symantec Threat Reports do seem =

to report advertised prices for a basket of goods, starting in Volume XI =

(March 2007) and running through the present. For example, Volume XI=20
Table 3 states a Skype account is worth $12, valid Hotmail cookie $3,=20
etc. These are interesting, but it's hard to see changes since they're=20
reported as a band of prices presumably aggregated from many different=20
sources.

I've also seen price anecdotes from Team Cymru. Plus of course the=20
"Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Internet Miscreants" paper from CCS=20
2007. Is there a continuous feed of prices published anywhere (besides=20
the underground servers, of course), or is this still something where=20
you have to go gather data yourself if you want it?

I'm curious because it would be interesting to look at the "street=20
price" for a specific online bank's logins before and after the bank=20
makes a change to its security practices. (One not particularly great=20
example of a change: adopting EV certs.) Alternatively, look at the=20
price of some good before and after a prosecution. If this has already=20
been done, my apologies, I'd appreciate the pointer.

finally, does anyone happen to know of a good review of how the focus on =

street price has performed as a metric for drug interdiction? that is, I =

could imagine cases where some specific intervention causes street price =

to rise but this doesn't lead to a corresponding improvement in things=20
like deaths from drug overdose, number of people using, etc. Does that=20
happen in practice so far as we know or not?

-David Molnar


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